Finance

China reviews plan to increase local government debt

A Chinese flag flutters on top of the Great Hall of the People ahead of the opening ceremony of the Belt and Road Forum (BRF), to mark 10th anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative, in Beijing, China October 18, 2023.
Edgar Su | Reuters

BEIJING — A closely watched meeting of China’s parliament standing committee on Monday reviewed a proposal to raise the local government debt limit, according to state media.

New debt would go toward replacing hidden debt, the report said, noting that Finance Minister Lan Fo’an spoke at the meeting on the plan.

Lan indicated at a press conference last month that an increase in the local debt limit was in the works. Local authorities in China have historically been responsible for much of public services spending, but have struggled financially as revenue from land sales to developers has dropped.

China has about 50 trillion yuan to 60 trillion yuan (about $7 trillion to $8.45 trillion) in outstanding hidden debt, according to Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura.

In a report Friday he estimated about 10 trillion yuan in additional debt quota could be approved over the next few years to swap out part of the hidden debt.

“Beijing might eventually raise the debt swap to RMB15trn, if China’s economy faces even bigger challenges,” Lu said.

The standing committee of China’s National People’s Congress is meeting this week and widely expected to approve further fiscal support for the country’s slowing economy. Committee Chair Zhao Leji is leading the gathering, scheduled to wrap up Friday.

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